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The forecasting study about Polar Bears that led to the threatened species followed almost none of the estrablished standards for conducting a forecasting study. ?

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videoParameters = { video_provider: 'youtube', video_title: event.target.videoTitle, video_url: event.target.playerInfo.videoUrl }; exactmetrics_media_record_video_event( 'youtube', 'impression', videoParameters.video_title, videoParameters ); } /** * Record progress callback **/ function __track_youtube_video_progress( player, videoLabel, videoParameters ) { var { playerInfo } = player; var playerId = player.h.id; var duration = playerInfo.duration; /* player.getDuration(); */ var currentTime = playerInfo.currentTime; /* player.getCurrentTime(); */ var percentage = (currentTime / duration) * 100; var progress = Math.floor(percentage); videoParameters.video_duration = duration; videoParameters.video_current_time = currentTime; videoParameters.video_percent = progress; exactmetrics_media_maybe_record_video_progress( 'youtube', videoLabel, playerId, videoParameters ); } function __youtube_on_state_change( event ) { var state = event.data; var player = event.target; var { playerInfo } = player; var playerId = player.h.id; var videoParameters = { video_provider: 'youtube', video_title: player.videoTitle, video_url: playerInfo.videoUrl }; /** * YouTube's API doesn't offer a progress or timeupdate event. * We have to track progress manually by asking the player for the current time, every X milliseconds, using an interval **/ if ( state === YT.PlayerState.PLAYING) { if ( exactmetrics_media_youtube_plays[playerId] === 0 ) { exactmetrics_media_youtube_plays[playerId]++; /** * Record video start **/ videoParameters.video_duration = playerInfo.duration; videoParameters.video_current_time = playerInfo.currentTime; videoParameters.video_percent = 0; exactmetrics_media_record_video_event( 'youtube', 'video_start', videoParameters.video_title, videoParameters ); } exactmetrics_youtube_percentage_tracking_timeouts[ playerId ] = setInterval( __track_youtube_video_progress, 500, player, videoParameters.video_title, videoParameters ); } else if ( state === YT.PlayerState.PAUSED ) { /* When the video is paused clear the interval */ clearInterval( exactmetrics_youtube_percentage_tracking_timeouts[ playerId ] ); } else if ( state === YT.PlayerState.ENDED ) { /** * Record video complete **/ videoParameters.video_duration = playerInfo.duration; videoParameters.video_current_time = playerInfo.currentTime; videoParameters.video_percent = 100; exactmetrics_media_record_video_event( 'youtube', 'video_complete', videoParameters.video_title, videoParameters ); clearInterval( exactmetrics_youtube_percentage_tracking_timeouts[ playerId ] ); } } var youtubeIframes = document.querySelectorAll("iframe[src*='youtube'],iframe[src*='youtu.be']"); youtubeIframes.forEach(function( iframe ) { var playerId = iframe.getAttribute('id'); if ( !playerId ) { playerId = exactmetrics_media_get_id_for_iframe( iframe.getAttribute('src'), 'youtube' ); iframe.setAttribute( 'id', playerId ); } new YT.Player(playerId, { events: { onReady: __onPlayerReady, onStateChange: __youtube_on_state_change } }); }); } function exactmetrics_media_load_youtube_api() { if ( window.YT ) { return; } var youtubeIframes = document.querySelectorAll("iframe[src*='youtube'],iframe[src*='youtu.be']"); if ( 0 === youtubeIframes.length ) { return; } var tag = document.createElement("script"); tag.src = "https://www.youtube.com/iframe_api"; var firstScriptTag = document.getElementsByTagName('script')[0]; firstScriptTag.parentNode.insertBefore(tag, firstScriptTag); } function exactmetrics_media_init_youtube_events() { /* YouTube always looks for a function called onYouTubeIframeAPIReady */ window.onYouTubeIframeAPIReady = exactmetrics_media_on_youtube_load; } /* --- End YouTube --- */ /* --- HTML Videos --- */ function exactmetrics_media_init_html_video_events() { var exactmetrics_media_html_plays = {}; var videos = document.querySelectorAll('video'); var videosCount = 0; videos.forEach(function( video ) { var videoLabel = video.title; if ( !videoLabel ) { var videoCaptionEl = video.nextElementSibling; if ( videoCaptionEl && videoCaptionEl.nodeName.toLowerCase() === 'figcaption' ) { videoLabel = videoCaptionEl.textContent; } else { videoLabel = video.getAttribute('src'); } } var videoTitle = videoLabel; var playerId = video.getAttribute('id'); if ( !playerId ) { playerId = 'html-player-' + videosCount; video.setAttribute('id', playerId); } exactmetrics_media_html_plays[playerId] = 0 var videoSrc = video.getAttribute('src') if ( ! videoSrc && video.currentSrc ) { videoSrc = video.currentSrc; } var videoParameters = { video_provider: 'html', video_title: videoTitle ? videoTitle : videoSrc, video_url: videoSrc, }; /** * Record Impression **/ exactmetrics_media_record_video_event( 'html', 'impression', videoLabel, videoParameters ); /** * Record video start **/ video.addEventListener('play', function(event) { let playerId = event.target.id; if ( exactmetrics_media_html_plays[playerId] === 0 ) { exactmetrics_media_html_plays[playerId]++; videoParameters.video_duration = video.duration; videoParameters.video_current_time = video.currentTime; videoParameters.video_percent = 0; exactmetrics_media_record_video_event( 'html', 'video_start', videoLabel, videoParameters ); } }, false ); /** * Record video progress **/ video.addEventListener('timeupdate', function() { var percentage = (video.currentTime / video.duration) * 100; var progress = Math.floor(percentage); videoParameters.video_duration = video.duration; videoParameters.video_current_time = video.currentTime; videoParameters.video_percent = progress; exactmetrics_media_maybe_record_video_progress( 'html', videoLabel, playerId, videoParameters ); }, false ); /** * Record video complete **/ video.addEventListener('ended', function() { var percentage = (video.currentTime / video.duration) * 100; var progress = Math.floor(percentage); videoParameters.video_duration = video.duration; videoParameters.video_current_time = video.currentTime; videoParameters.video_percent = progress; exactmetrics_media_record_video_event( 'html', 'video_complete', videoLabel, videoParameters ); }, false ); videosCount++; }); } /* --- End HTML Videos --- */ function exactmetrics_media_init_video_events() { /** * HTML Video - Attach events & record impressions */ exactmetrics_media_init_html_video_events(); /** * Vimeo - Attach events & record impressions */ exactmetrics_media_init_vimeo_events(); exactmetrics_media_load_youtube_api(); } /* Attach events */ function exactmetrics_media_load() { if ( typeof(__gtagTracker) === 'undefined' ) { setTimeout(exactmetrics_media_load, 200); return; } if ( document.readyState === "complete" ) { // Need this for cookie plugin. exactmetrics_media_init_video_events(); } else if ( window.addEventListener ) { window.addEventListener( "load", exactmetrics_media_init_video_events, false ); } else if ( window.attachEvent ) { window.attachEvent( "onload", exactmetrics_media_init_video_events); } /** * YouTube - Attach events & record impressions. * We don't need to attach this into page load event * because we already use YT function "onYouTubeIframeAPIReady" * and this will help on using onReady event with the player instantiation. */ exactmetrics_media_init_youtube_events(); } exactmetrics_media_load(); </script>  <link rel="icon" href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/cropped-Untitled-3-32x32.png" sizes="32x32" /> <link rel="icon" href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/cropped-Untitled-3-192x192.png" sizes="192x192" /> <link rel="apple-touch-icon" href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/cropped-Untitled-3-180x180.png" /> <meta name="msapplication-TileImage" content="https://gilavalleycentral.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/cropped-Untitled-3-270x270.png" /> <style type="text/css" id="wp-custom-css"> </style> </head> <body data-rsssl=1 class="home wp-singular page-template page-template-template-front page-template-template-front-php page page-id-8 wp-theme-mh-newsdesk metaslider-plugin mh-right-sb 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href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2020-morenci-club/">Gila Idol 2020 Morenci Club</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85802" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85802"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2020-bull-pen/">Gila Idol 2020 Bull Pen</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85809" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85809"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2020-safford-bowl/">Gila Idol 2020 Safford Bowl</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85807" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85807"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2020-oneaz-credit-union/">Gila Idol 2020 OneAZ Credit Union</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85808" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85808"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2020-pollocks/">Gila Idol 2020 Pollocks</a></li> </ul> </li> <li id="menu-item-85813" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-has-children menu-item-85813"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2019-final/">Gila Idol 2019 Final</a> <ul class="sub-menu"> <li id="menu-item-85811" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85811"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2019-callbacks/">Gila Idol 2019 Callbacks</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85815" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85815"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2019-oneaz-credit-union/">Gila Idol 2019 OneAZ Credit Union</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85814" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85814"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2019-morenci-club/">Gila Idol 2019 Morenci Club</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85810" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85810"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2019-bull-pen/">Gila Idol 2019 Bull Pen</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85817" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85817"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2019-safford-bowl/">Gila Idol 2019 Safford Bowl</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85812" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85812"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2019-double-r-grill/">Gila Idol 2019 Double R Grill</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85816" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85816"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2019-pollocks/">Gila Idol 2019 Pollocks</a></li> </ul> </li> <li id="menu-item-85818" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-has-children menu-item-85818"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-valley-idol-2018-final/">Gila Valley Idol 2018 Final</a> <ul class="sub-menu"> <li 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href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2018-safford-bowl-richards-music/">Gila Idol 2018 Safford Bowl-Richards Music</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85821" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85821"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2018-mt-graham-golf-course/">Gila Idol 2018 Mt. Graham Golf Course</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85823" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85823"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2018-pollocks-western-outfitters/">Gila Idol 2018 Pollock’s Western Outfitters</a></li> </ul> </li> <li id="menu-item-85827" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-has-children menu-item-85827"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2017-final/">Gila Idol 2017 Final</a> <ul class="sub-menu"> <li id="menu-item-85832" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85832"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2017-sparks-homestore/">Gila Idol 2017 Sparks Homestore</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85829" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85829"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2017-oneaz-credit-union/">Gila Idol 2017 OneAz Credit Union</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85833" 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href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2017-pollocks-western-outfitters/">Gila Idol 2017 Pollock’s Western Outfitters</a></li> </ul> </li> <li id="menu-item-85836" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-has-children menu-item-85836"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2016-final/">Gila Idol 2016 Final</a> <ul class="sub-menu"> <li id="menu-item-85837" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85837"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2016-kempton-chevrolet/">Gila Idol 2016 Kempton Chevrolet</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85840" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85840"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2016-sparks-homestore/">Gila Idol 2016 Sparks Homestore</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85841" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85841"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2016-the-bull-pen/">Gila Idol 2016 The Bull Pen</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85842" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85842"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2016-the-morenci-club/">Gila Idol 2016 The Morenci Club</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85839" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85839"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2016-safford-bowl/">Gila Idol 2016 Safford Bowl</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85835" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85835"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2016-az-state-credit-union/">Gila Idol 2016 AZ State Credit Union</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85838" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85838"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2016-pollocks-western-outfitters/">Gila Idol 2016 Pollock’s Western Outfitters</a></li> </ul> </li> <li id="menu-item-85843" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-has-children menu-item-85843"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2015-finals/">Gila Idol 2015 Finals</a> <ul class="sub-menu"> <li id="menu-item-85845" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85845"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2015-kempton-chevrolet/">Gila Idol 2015 Kempton Chevrolet</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85849" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85849"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2015-the-bull-pen/">Gila Idol 2015 The Bull Pen</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85850" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85850"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2015-the-morenci-club/">Gila Idol 2015 The Morenci Club</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85848" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type 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menu-item-object-page menu-item-85862"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2013-jds-grill-house/">Gila Idol 2013 JDs Grill House</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85864" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85864"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2013-safford-bowl/">Gila Idol 2013 Safford Bowl</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85865" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85865"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2013-the-bull-pen/">Gila Idol 2013 The Bull Pen</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85860" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85860"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2013-freedom-ford/">Gila Idol 2013 Freedom Ford</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85866" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85866"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2013-the-morenci-club/">Gila Idol 2013 The Morenci 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href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2012-gila-outdoor/">Gila Idol 2012 Gila Outdoor</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85870" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85870"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2012-pollocks-western-outfitters/">Gila Idol 2012 Pollock’s Western Outfitters</a></li> </ul> </li> <li id="menu-item-85875" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-has-children menu-item-85875"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2011-finals/">Gila Idol 2011 Finals</a> <ul class="sub-menu"> <li id="menu-item-85880" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85880"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2011-safford-elks-lodge/">Gila Idol 2011 Safford Elks Lodge</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85876" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85876"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2011-gila-outdoor/">Gila Idol 2011 Gila Outdoor</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85882" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85882"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2011-the-bull-pen/">Gila Idol 2011 The Bull Pen</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85881" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85881"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2011-santis/">Gila Idol 2011 Santis</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85879" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85879"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2011-safford-bowl/">Gila Idol 2011 Safford Bowl</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85877" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85877"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2011-kempton-chevrolet/">Gila Idol 2011 Kempton Chevrolet</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85878" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85878"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2011-pollocks-western-outfitters/">Gila Idol 2011 Pollocks Western Outfitters</a></li> </ul> </li> <li id="menu-item-85884" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-has-children menu-item-85884"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2010-finals/">Gila Idol 2010 Finals</a> <ul class="sub-menu"> <li id="menu-item-85885" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85885"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2010-gila-outdoor/">Gila Idol 2010 Gila Outdoor</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85889" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85889"><a href="https://gilavalleycentral.net/gila-idol-2010-santis/">Gila Idol 2010 Santis</a></li> <li id="menu-item-85886" class="menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-85886"><a 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